Why a fish market is not so different from financial markets
The ukvalueinvestor with a short case study on Chemring and the risk of M&A fueled growth
Why you shouldn’t even think about buying Spanish bank stocks (H/T to 2 of my readers, best piece of sell side research I have seen in a decade)
An interesting look at the potential total impact of Electric Vehicles on the economy
Basehit Investing about the really important items in an investment check list
The luxury industry slumps further and how Cartier’s attempt in luxury watches didn’t work out. However better times may lie ahead.
David Merkel eplains why buying stock of an indebted cyclical company is never a good idea, even if Monosh Pabrai and Guy Spier own it (Horsehead)
Finally, check out this relatively new blog GlobalStockPicking. Some pretty good content and interesting (global) stocks in the blog portfolio.
A very good list of many useful mental models
EMI – The inside story
Michael Maboussin on the 10 most important attributes of Great Investors
Some critical thoughts on Games Workshop from Richard Beddard
Larry Swedroe explains why investors should avoid “lottery tickets”
Regenerative agriculture – disrupting the traditional food & agricultural industry ?
Price/Book doesn’t seem to work well these days
“Shoe Dog” is the memoir of Phil Knight’s early years as founder and CEO of NIKE.
As a University track runner, he got the idea to import sport shoes from Japan. Without much preparation he flew to Japan and actually managed to get the importer contract for the Japanese Tiger brand.
The first shoes he sold on track & field competitions literally out of the trunk of his car. For the first years, he worked as a CPA at day and financed the shoe business with his salary. The creation of the NIKE brand was more or less a “forced coincidence” when the Japanese company tried to kick them out of their deal.
As the company was founded with very little equity, (only 1000 USD, with his former coach as 49% partner), the company was for many years always on the brink of bankruptcy and was saved once by the parents of an employee and another time by a Japanese trading company.
I was very surprised how well the book is written. I am not sure but I think most of the memoir is written by Phil Knight himself. The book reads much more like a Thriller than like a (somewhat boring) “How I did it” memoir. For the first 200 pages or so I couldn’t put the book down. Although the end of the story is well know it is nevertheless fascinating to read how the first 10 years or so they limped from one near death experience to the other.
What I also find interesting is that Phil Knight mostly describes the mistakes he made. If you read the book you get the impression “What the hell did he actually do ?” for NIKE to become so succesful. In his descriptions it is almost always his employees or his former partner who came up with the best ideas. His leadership style seemed to be very team oriented and “Hands off”, a nice contrast to the “maniac detail obsessed” guys like Bezos and Jobs. My interpretation is that he basically was responsible for the general direction and strategy and let his employees do whatever they thought was the right thing to do.
My learnings from the book:
- Those days were great days for banks. They were the kings and start-ups like Nike the ones begging for money. Raising money back then was really difficult, capital was scarce.
- A value investor woul dhave never invested in this company as it was debt only, free cash flow negative and with little observable competitive advantages for the first 10-15 years.
- Nike was actually saved by a Japanese trading company which funded the expansion after the bank refused to finance a strongly growing but cashflow negative company
- The brand “Nike” and the “swoosh” were much more coincidence than strategic planning
- Nike and Knight were at the right place at the right time. When people started to wear sneakers as everyday shoe, Nike was just there. They didn’t foresee it and didn’t plan for it.
- Phil Knight’s leadership style seems to have been very “hands-off”, much less detail obsessed than for instance Jobs or Bezos. A good example that a founder doesn’t need to be an egomaniac asshole to be succesful.
- Amazon these days is able to charge more for the Kindle copy than for the paperback. Remarkable.
- From a personality point of view the founders and initial team seem to have been “outsiders”. A guy in a wheelchair, an obese guy and a more or less autistic running freak were the first employees and later also the top management. Not your typical Fortune 500 top management.
Overall I can only recommend this book. I think it makes a perfect and surprisingly “thrilling” read especially for the summer holidays.
Must read: Deep thoughts on changing competitive advantages from Jan (TGV Truffle fund)
Competitive Advantages 2: How ARM did beat almighty Intel
Steve Balmers “Truth”: How Microsoft missed mobile
The guy from Punch Card Blog look into one of heir failed investments (CONN)
Chipotle and the next big thing: Burgers. Plus a look behind the Chipotle counter.
Stock picking is not dead, closet indexing most likely will be soon
Wertart has a very good writeup on UK retailer SportsDirect
Punchcard likes used goods retailer Winmark
Forager likes Italian company El.En (I didn’t like El.En 5 years ago)
A few critical observations on Elon Musk and his “Master Plan II”
Some deep thoughts about the “Brexit Blues”
A very interesting reading list (investing & other)