Some links

FTAlphaville compares Turkey to Thailand and Malaysia in the 90s Asian crisis

The Canada Goose stock looks VERY expensive

Some good insights into short selling from Glenn Chan

Bill Gates recommends to read  the book “Capitalism without Capital”

A deeper look into Alibaba’s “numbers salad”

Bronte’s John Hempton tires to understand why Bayer shareholders didn’t stick around after a wave of lawsuits seems to hit newly acquired Monsanto

Off topic: rest in Peace Aretha Franklin



Observations: Tesla, David Einhorn & Turkey

Tesla / Elon Musk

Elon Musk’s “Tesla is somehow going private” Tweet has triggered a lot of comments and discussions (good coverage on FT Alphaville).

For me the main take-away of this story is two fold:

One the one hand, listed equity markets are not the best place to raise equity capital once you are listed. It is OK to raise equity once when you IPO but after that, a company should only pay dividends and buy back stock. Part of the reason that Tesla is shorted so much is the expectation that they will need to raise equity which clearly shows the dilemma of public equity markets these days. Personally, I do think we will see more “Softbank style” large private vehicles which will specialize in providing capital to growing companies and save them the troubles of public equity markets until the company is mature enough. Unfortunately this will lead to the shift of a large part of value creation away from public markets and out of the reach of many “Normal” investors.

Read more

Some links

Unintended consequences: Ride hailing apps seem to increase inner city traffic

The “Old” valuation ratios don’t work that well anymore

Quant Investing is now a thing in Venture Capital, at least at Google

Seth Godin with a good list of books worth reading

Great piece from VC investor Fred Wilson on “investment pace”

Forager defines its own “investment edge”

Y Combinator’s Summer 2018 book list

Edit: Don’t miss the 2018 half year report from the TGV Truffle fund

creditshelf – Hot Fintech disruptor or overpriced hype IPO ?

Intro: Why am I looking at this ?

Fintech companies these days are hot. Not many days past that not another big deal is announced. Most of the “action” though takes place in the Venture Capital market which is normally closed for most retail investors.

There is clearly a lot of hype in the sector, on the other hand there are more and more really disruptive business models that might do to traditional finance (Insurance, banking, Asset management) what Amazon has done to retail

As financial services is one of my core interests in investing, I think it will pay of to keep an eye on what is happening in Fintech.

Credishelf IPO


An exception is the German company Creditshelf, which despite being a pretty early stage startup, has just successfully completed its IPO on July 18th.

Read more

Some links

Must read: Extremely wise words from Marc Andreessen on how to grow a (Tech) Company

It’s half-year report time:

TGV Partners fund (among other with Grafenia Plc as new position)
Rob Vinall’s RV Capital (AddLife and PSG as new positions)
TGV Rubicon

A few thoughts on

Best Buy is thriving again despite Amazon. A blue print for others ?

The UK Value Investor with 4 rules for selling stocks

And don’t miss Wexboy’s Half year update




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