Some links

Prof. Damodaran is trying to value Spotify ahead of its “IPO”

A look into DE Shaw, one of the earliest and most successful Quant Hedge Funds

Must watch: Crypto currencies explained by John Oliver

Wyndham Worldwide looks like a potentially interesting Spin-off situation

US Company audit reports might be soon much more interesting to read 

Japanese Game companies could be worth a look

Forager Funds on why Dividends should be taxed higher in Australia

The return of the Travel Series (9): Expedia (EXPE) – Cheaper than I thought

Disclaimer: This is not investment advise !!! Do your own research !!!!
The guy who wrote this post just lost a lot of money with his Silver Chef position. You might even consider shorting his recommendations 😉


When I looked at Expedia almost exactly one year ago as part of my 2017 Travel Series my key take negative aways were as follows:

– CEO has super high salary (90 mn USD in 2015)
– top line growth, operating profit stagnant
– expensive acquisitions in 2015/2016, number of shares and debt increased significantly
– reported growth numbers not adjusted for acquisitions in investor presentation
– lots of share options

Additionally, the stock looked expensive:

At 119 USD per share, Bloomberg tells me that they have a trailing P/E of 54, an expected 2017 P/E of 22,3 and an EV/EBITDA of ~16. This means that a lot of growth is already priced in.

As we can see in the chart, the stock became at first even more expensive before dropping back to a level of around 100 USD / share:

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