Monthly Archives: June 2022

Naked Wines ($WINE) update – The Good, The Bad and the Ugly

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Disclaimer: this s not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!

Naked Wines released their full earnings last week and the result was a full disaster with the share price down a whopping -43% despite the fact that the headline numbers were already known. It is a good reminder that even being down more than -60% from its top, a stock can still fall another -40% on one day. Although the stock was only a 2,9% position prior to that drop, it still warrants a deeper dive than usual.

The signs were already obvious

Before moving to the actual numbers and the report, I have to criticize myself for not acting on the stock despite the following issues that I had identified already some time ago:

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Some links

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Another interesting background article on Tiger Global 

Elad Gil on the current state and future of Venture Capital (Twitter Thread)

A good reminder that Wealth doesn’t flow anywhere when stock prices go down

Ray Dalio thinks that Stagflation is coming

Excellent write-up on Fuchs Petrolub from Augustusville

And a great Sony Deep Dive from Asia Century stocks

Why the “long tail” promise  in streaming never happened

 

Some links

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Brad Feld thinks startups should prefer “clean” down rounds to crazy structures

A deep dive into the factors why Nuclear Power is so expensive

Despite some popular home runs, Biotech Stocks as a group have underperformed over the long term

The Value Shares blog likes Vopak (German)

Searching4Value likes Croatian Pharma stock Krka

Bill Gates has released his “5 books for the summer” reading list

TikTok seems to have become essential for Music labels

 

 

Inflation vs. Pricing Power for Chemical companies & Nabaltec follow up (ADD)

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Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!!

Inflation & Pricing power

One of the obvious strategies for for investors in an inflationary environment is to pick companies that have “Pricing power”. Pricing power means that companies should be able to raise prices at least as quickly as costs rise.

Now one could try to do some deep thinking if and how different business models react to inflation. As I am a more “hands on” guy, my solution is to look at actual numbers and then try to draw my conclusion.

For any company that is producing material goods, the best indicator for pricing power in my opinion is Gross profit, i.e. the difference between selling price of a product minus the direct costs to produce them.

A company with pricing power should keep the gross margin or ideally even improve gross margins in an inflationary environment.

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