Again a quick upfront comment: Why did I start that series right now ? I guess it is a combination of bad experience in some foreign stocks (Cars.com, Silver Chef), the expectation of a more economically difficult situation in Germany (which will probably provide some opportunities later on) and curiosity. So far I have to say it is great fun, at least for me.
Nr. 40: Solutiance AG – ISIN: DE0006926504
Another renamed/reactivated company, now something with real etsate management software. 10 mn market cap, around 1 mn sales. “Pass”
Nr. 41: Surteco AG – ISIN: DE0005176903
Post number 4 in this series. This tiem a quick upfront remark what I do with the “watch list” that I create out of this: The watch list will be used to actually just watch these shares more actively and maybe follow up with a deeper analysis when time allows. In general I do think there is no time pressure with German shares. Germany has technically entered a recession and a lot of shares are still not cheap.
Nr. 30: Centrotec Sustainable AG – ISIN: DE0005407506
A 215 mn EUR market cap company with a very interesting product portfolio, i.e. specializing in energy efficient technologies for buildings. Majority owned by the founder, quite cheap (P/E of 12) and growing. Tailwind from new “climate saving” initiative from the German government which bumped the share price in the last few days. The company unfortunately is not very profitable (EBIT margin ~4-5%) despite the construction boom in its core market Germany. I have also doubts how long the ccurretn real estate boom in Germany will last. Nevertheless one for the “watch list”
And the next 10 shares in this series:
Nr. 20: Magforce AG
123 mn EUR Nano-Medtech company claiming to develope a cancer cure. Sales so far negligible. Not my area of competence, so “pass”.
Nr. 21: Bijou Brigitte AG – ISIN: DE0005229504
This is part 1 of the “All German Shares” series. As mentioned in the intro a few days ago and as a reminder:
- I will look at the shares in random order, so it doesn’t makes sense to propose specific shares to me
- the first round analysis will be very high level
Ok, so let’s start:
Nr. 1: DEMIRE (Deutsche Mittelstands Real Estate) AG – ISIN DE000A0XFSF0
DEMIRE is a listed real estate company focusing on “secondary” location commercial real estate objects, i.e. locations that are not “Prime”. The company has a market cap of 530 mn EUR and is stating an NAV of ~5,85 EUR compared to its latest stock price of around 4,90 EUR.
My roots as an investor are domestic German stocks. For the first 10-15 years of my investing “career” I would only look at German stocks (with minor exceptions during the Dot.com boom), only after some time I moved on to a more international focus. Even at the beginning of this blog in December 2010, the majority of our shares back then were still German.
These days, I only have a relatively small domestic stock allocation left (P. Hartmann, Draeger, Innogy) and mostly screen for international stocks.
One interesting thing happened in the meantime: I kind of lost my comprehensive knowledge about German shares. A lot of companies have newly been listed or disappeared and somehow I never ket track of what was happening. Also I didn’t follow the good ones very closely.
WeWork as the AWS of Commercial Real Estate
A lot has been written in the past few days about the upcoming WeWork IPO. I had linked to a few articles on Saturday and FTAlphaville has some pretty sarcastic but good coverage as well.
Yesterday then the always brilliant Stratechery came out with in interesting post. Ben Thompson thinks that WeWork could develop into something like AWS (for real estate) which now is repsonsible for most of Amazon’s profits. But he clearly acknowledges there are a lot of governance issues etc. etc. The “WeWork is like AWS” story is nothing new and is mostly pushed by WeWork itself and combined with what they think is the adressable market (hint: all commercial real estate globally) could justify almost any valuation.
WeWork’s actual product: Open Plan offices (for start-ups and wannabes)
What I have been missing in the whole discussion so far is a look at WeWork’s actual product which in my opinion is the following:
Another headline for this post could have been “The good, the (not so) bad and the (very) ugly…
Let’s start with “the ugly” right away: Cars.com
Yesterday was a pretty bad day anyway but Cars.com decided that it is a good day to tell investors that a potential sale of the company will not materialize. The whole bidding process has been described in details by the company. In summary, 29 parties looked at the company but no “actionable” bid could be obtained. This alone might not have triggered the -36% share price reaction taht happened yesterday,