On Thursday after close, Fossil came out with their Q3 numbers. Without adjusting for currencies, numbers looked pretty bad. Sales were down 14%, watches even -17%. In the earnings call they blame most of the decline on Michael Kors:
Monthly Archives: November 2015
Movado is the second US-based company specializing in watches (see my previous posts on Fossil part 1 and part 2). The company has a quite interesting history. Cuban Refugee Gerry Grinberg founded the company in the 1960ties basically as a Swiss Watch importer. Later on they actually acquired the rights to the Movado brand with the iconic Museum Watch.
Market Folly with notes on all pitches from the “Invest for Kids” conference
You still believe that Operating Cash Flows are a better indicator than earnings ? Well, maybe not at Valeant.
Whole Foods is having a pretty hard time right now, maybe it’s worth having a closer look into ?
A rare glimpse into Baupost Group, especially they way the look at cash (H/T Valueinvestingworld)
Carl Icahn tells his story (8 minute video)
Adjusted EBITDA conquers the world or at least the S&P 500…..
Book review: “Damn Right: Behind the Scenes with Berkshire Hathaway Billionaire Charlie Munger” – Janet Lowe
The success story of Berkshire for a long time has focused only on Warren Buffett, the front man with the knack of explaining even the most complicated issues in a funny and folksy manner. Charlie Munger was for a long time only considered to be the “funny side-kick” who seems to be asleep most of the time during Berkshire’s annual share holder meeting.
This changed somehow in the last few years, among them the excellent “Poor Charlie’s Almanack” from Peter Kaufmann and there seem to be a couple of Charlie Munger books already released or in the pipeline.
So I was pretty surprised that there is a much older book about Charlie than the others. “Damn Right” was written and released in 2000 and is based on many interviews, some with Charlie Munger directly but also with his family and former colleagues and friends. 2000 was a year where many people thought that Berkshire had lost it, maybe one reason why the book didn’t become more well-known.
The book starts slowly with some stories on his parents and grand parents but gets more interesting pretty quickly. Munger started early on as a lawyer but discovered that he can make more money by being a real estate developer and started buying plots, building and selling apartments and houses. He then started to buy parts of or whole small companies. For a very long time he did so as a pure “Graham investor”, picking up bargains or even net nets.
Munger then started Munger Wheeler in the 60ies but was already discussing investment ideas with Buffett over the phone. He also invested together with Buffett and another Californian investor and friend Rick Guierin (One of Buffett’s “Superinvestors”) into the same companies sometimes even closely held ones. The most famous common acquisition of this time was the Blue Stamp company.
Wheeler & Munger performed greatly from 1962 to 1969 but did badly the next few years when Warren Buffett hat already closed his partnership. Munger dissolved the partnership in 1976 but still had a track record of making ~24% p.a.against 6% p.a. fr the Dow Jones.
The changing point in his history is clearly the purchase of See’s where they paid, for the first time in their history, above book value for a company. Munger is quoted that they would not have bought Coke if they hadn’t started with See’s.
After that the book covers some of the major Berkshire stories but with an interesting perspective. For me the most surprising facts from the book were:
– Munger and Buffett were fined by the SEC in 1974 (WESCO)
– Munger’s Partner had the original See’s Candy idea
– Munger was a “Graham style investor” for a very long time
– there were really big draw downs in the Munger partnership
Interestingly enough, the book says that already in the late 90ies, Munger wasn’t involved that actively in Berkshire anymore. For me the question always remains: Would Buffett had been as succesful without meeting Munger or would he would have become “just another succesful” investor ? Who knows.
Overall the book is definitely a good read for any value investor and tells most of the Berkshire story from a slightly different perspective. HIGHLY RECOMMENDED.
This is a follow-up to my first post on Fossil. The short summary:
Fossil has a good but not great business with some issues, among others the potential success of smart watches. The reason to dig deeper was the unusual combination of CEO/owner with zero salary and capital allocation with a focus on share buy backs.
Share buy backs
There is a great collection of articles on Teledyne and Henry Singleton “available at CS Investing. One absolute gem inside is a classification of stock buy backs in order of usefulness to shareholders from Hedge Fund Honcho Leon Cooperman: