ANother upfront remark: I publish these posts with some delays, so not all numbers are real time. Also in some cases some news will have been issued afterwards like with Nordex (see below). Sometimes I might miss that…..
Nr. 50: CD Deutsche Eigenheim AG – ISIN: DE000A168270
Struggling real estate developer with 3 mn market cap. “Pass”
Nr. 51: Nordex AG – ISIN: DE000A0D6554
900 mn market cap Windmill manufacturer. Unprofitable, structural issues. “pass”
Edit: I wrote this a few weeks ago. In the mean time the stock price has recovered a little bit as Spanish company Acciona increased their stake via a capital increase to > 30% and had to issue a fromal takeover offer:
In the first 9 months of 2019, the Value & Opportunity portfolio gained 8,8% (including dividends, no taxes) against 19.4% for the Benchmark (Eurostoxx50 (Perf.Ind) (25%), Eurostoxx small 200 (25%), DAX (30%), MDAX (20%)).
Links to previous Performance reviews can be found on the Performance Page of the blog.
Some other funds that I follow have performed as follows for 9M 2019:
Partners Fund TGV: -2.25%
Squad European Convictions +9,8%
Ennismore European Smaller Cos +7.5% (in EUR)
Frankfurter Aktienfonds für Stiftungen 2,3%
Evermore Global Value +13,7% (USD)
Greiff Special Situation +2% (est)
Squad Aguja Special Situation +9,8%
Paladin ONE 6,61%
Q3 2019 transactions
Again a quick upfront comment: Why did I start that series right now ? I guess it is a combination of bad experience in some foreign stocks (Cars.com, Silver Chef), the expectation of a more economically difficult situation in Germany (which will probably provide some opportunities later on) and curiosity. So far I have to say it is great fun, at least for me.
Nr. 40: Solutiance AG – ISIN: DE0006926504
Another renamed/reactivated company, now something with real etsate management software. 10 mn market cap, around 1 mn sales. “Pass”
Nr. 41: Surteco AG – ISIN: DE0005176903
Innogy Tendered Shares
A quick update on this “cheap option play”: To a small extent this has developed better than I intitially thought as I had mentioned in the comments. My initial expectation would have been a small loss. However, E.On now has increaesd the price for the tendered Innogy shares voluntarily to 37.59 EUR which, inclding the dividend of 1,40 will lead to a small profit (before taxes and cost) . However the ultimate upside, if there is a lawsuit, will be smaller as the E.On shares dropped to 9 EUR and the theoretical value of the tendered shares is now 4.371*9= 39,34 EUR.
Post number 4 in this series. This tiem a quick upfront remark what I do with the “watch list” that I create out of this: The watch list will be used to actually just watch these shares more actively and maybe follow up with a deeper analysis when time allows. In general I do think there is no time pressure with German shares. Germany has technically entered a recession and a lot of shares are still not cheap.
Nr. 30: Centrotec Sustainable AG – ISIN: DE0005407506
A 215 mn EUR market cap company with a very interesting product portfolio, i.e. specializing in energy efficient technologies for buildings. Majority owned by the founder, quite cheap (P/E of 12) and growing. Tailwind from new “climate saving” initiative from the German government which bumped the share price in the last few days. The company unfortunately is not very profitable (EBIT margin ~4-5%) despite the construction boom in its core market Germany. I have also doubts how long the ccurretn real estate boom in Germany will last. Nevertheless one for the “watch list”