Some links

How Amazon, Google and Facebook created the “Trinet”

Two  interesting special situations: CBS Radio Reverse Morris Trust and VICI properties

Ocera Therapeutics, a Pharma take-over with a Contingent Valur Right (CVR)

L Brands (Victoria’s Secret) looks cheap

An interesting collection of “far off the beaten track” stocks

The Venture Capital sector looks pretty screwed up at the moment

Q&A with Lou Simpson (EX CIO of Geico)

Cars.com (CARS) – Interesting spin-off opportunity ?

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!

 

logo-cars

Cars.com is a recent (May 31st) spin-off from publishing company Tegna, which itself is a spin-off of the Gannet publishing Group. Interestingly, Gannet/Tegna only bought control of cars.com in 2014 for a total value of 1,8 bn USD.

Cars.com – The business & Market

Cars.com is a typical “Online classified” business, meaning that it collects offers of merchandise (in this case cars), aggregates and sorts them and then shows it to as many potential customers as possible.

The economic value of such a “service” is relatively easy to explain: For a potential customer, it saves time because he can look at and compare different offers at one place. For the sellers, such a service is basically an advertising and/or sales channel which ideally reaches many potential customers.

Read more

Some links

Forager thinks that Buffett could/should take over General Electric (GE)

Interesting interview (Podcast) with famous financial author Roger Lowenstein (Buffett, Munger, Fed)

Rick Bookstaber on the current low volatility market 

Risk free rates are at a 800 year low

Will Tesla finally implode ?

A playbook of how the current Crypto Bubble could implode

The “Buffett of Saudi Arabia”  Prince Alwaleed seems to have been arrested

Some links

Forager with a mini case study on how a good business can quickly deteriorate

An analysis of TABS Holland, a pretty obscure stock from the Netherlands

Notes from the “Capitalize for kids” conference (Einhorn)

An interesting slide deck on High Frequency Trading

Prof. Damodaran thinks Bitcoin is a currency (and not a very good one), not an investment. Plus a follow up.

There is too much money in Venture Capital these days

Must Read: “How to remember what you read” from Farnam Street

Trivago Update: From virtuous to vicuous circle in only 7 months ?

When I first reviewed Trivago in March this year, the company looked like an unstoppable growth machine, although much too expensive. Looking at the stock chart we can see that the stock almost doubled after my write-up but then lost 2/3 since its peak in July and now trades -40% against the IPO price 11 months ago:

trivago design_big.chart

So what happened ?

In July, Trivago came out confirming their earnings guidance 2017 with +50% in sales and increasing margins. In early September, after the stock had dropped already significantly, they came out with this warning:

Read more

Canada Mortgage banking follow up: Home Capital group (2) & Equitable

Quick Home Capital Group follow-up:

After my first post about Home Capital Group, a reader recommended to look at the KPMG report on Home Capital Group. This document can be easily obtained via a dedicated Home Capital Short Seller website hcgexposed.com which seems to be run by “famed” short seller Mark Cohodes.

I am a big fan of actually reading documents so I did read it fully (its only 20 pages).

My summary is as follows: Yes, there were serious deficiencies in HCG’s underwriting process. At its core, management emphasized volume growth above anything else and controls were not adequate.

The core issues of the “documentation fraud” is summarized as follows:

Read more

Some links

Why investing and Quantum Physics have a lot in common (h/t Valueinvestingworld)

Mark Cohodes vs. Warren Buffett (Home Capital)

A deep (and disturbing) look into the matress online business

The curious case of the BINDQ liquidation trust

Interview with Danny Meyer, founder of the Shake Shack chain

Interesting thought: Cryptocurrencies are “Non-Financial Collective Equity”

Graham & Doddsville Fall 2017 edition

 

 

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