Category Archives: Anlage Philosophie

Travel series part 7 – Tripadvisor (TRIP) follow up & more thoughts on online travel

This is the follow-up post on the intitial Tripadvisor post from last week.

So where is the upside ?

After “bashing” them in the first post, the question is: Is there an upside and if yes where ?

CEO & Capital management

With Steve Kaufer, the CEO, one of the founders is still on board. His salary is rather modest but he got plenty of options awarded in the previous years. According to Bloomberg, he received option in the original value of ~33 mn USD in 2014 to 2016. He owns  shares in an amount of 17 mn USD, which is not huge but still not insignificant.

In his 2016 letter to the shareholders he writes the following:

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Travel series part 6: Tripadvisor (TRIP) – Riding a dead horse ?

So this is part 6 of my little travel series. Previous posts were:

Part 1 – lastminute.com
Part 2 – Expedia
Part 3 – Trivago
Part  4 & 5 – Flight Centre

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The company

Tripadvisor is clearly one of the most well-known names in Online Travel. The company was founded in 2000, but was then acquired by Interactive Group in 2004 and rolled into Expedia. In 2011 the company then was spun out and listed separately. Similar to Expedia in true John Malone style, there are two entities listed: Tripadvisor and Liberty Tripadvisor.

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Italgas SPA (ISIN IT0005211237)- follow & SELL

People who follow my blog for some time know that timing of purchase and sales of stocks is not one of my strengths. I usually buy too early and sell too early. Italgas is one of the very rare exceptions:

When I looked at Italgas and then bought it end of November, I really managed to buy at or very close to the absolute low after the company had been spun off.

Looking at the stock chart we can see that Italgas outperfomed the broad index (lower blue line) but mostly mirrored the Italian small cap index with a slight outperformance if we consider the dividend which was paid early this week (0,20 EUR/share).

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Sapec SA – follow up

Annual Report 2016

So now Sapec is out with their annual report for the last year (or 15 months).

The report is in French, so I am not sure if understood everything by 100% but I try to summarize the relevant issues:

  • Book value per share at year-end was 191,6 EUR
  • The operating result of the business ex the sold business is slightly negative
  • The Agro business was sold at 318,4 mn equity value, resulting in a gain of 226 mn EUR
  • They provisioned the full 36 mn Novo Bank guarantee.

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Nickels, steam rollers and other (bad) investment heuristics

Every now and then some more or less famous investor is quoted with some common wisdom that rarely gets challenged but which in my opinion is total nonsense if used in the wrong context.

Example: “Picking up Nickels in front of a steam roller” should be generally avoided

This is a comment I often here when I discuss certain special situations like for instance the Stada case.

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Book review: “Great by Choice” – Jim Collins

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“Great by Choice” seems to be the most recent book (2011) from management “guru” Jim Collins. Similar to “Built to last” he focuses on companies that have achieved great success. However in “Great by Choice” he includes a certain twist: He looks at 8 pairs of competing companies which more or less had the same starting point, but where one of them became super successful and the other not.

He then tries to work out why the successful ones were successful. The pairs are as follows:

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Some links

Don’t miss: Jeff Bezos’ 2016 letter to Amazon share holders

A great collection of business/investing book reviews from Abnormal Returns

An interesting write up on German “Amazon for animal feed” company Zooplus

Good idea: Write down everything what you have learned about investing in simple sentences

A good collection of articles about Blockchain technology

On the virtues of writing for investors

 

 

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