Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH !!!
Agfa-Gevaert was on my research list for some time now. Fellow blogger Undervalued Shares than triggered my renewed interest with their post from a few days ago and one of my best “Special situations” ideas ever was a Belgian company (Sapec).
I’ll try to summarize the part of the post that deals with Agfa:
- Active Ownership, a relatively new but successful German activist fund (Stada) has build up a position (~14%] and board membership (actually the Chairman) in Agfa Gevaert, the traditional German-Belgian film / imaging company
- Despite having some interesting assets, Agfa didn’t create shareholder value over a long time
- opaque reporting and a 1 bn EUR pension liability made it unattractive to stock market investors
- In 2020, Agfa managed to sell part of its Healthcare IT segment for 975 mn EUR
- Initially, the stock went up to ~5 EUR based on the first info on the sale but hasn’t fully recovered yet
Another batch of 25 randomly selected German stocks. This time I identified 5 candidates for my watch list amongst them.
451. Biofrontera AG
BioFrontera is a 151 mn EUR market cap specialty pharma company in the field of dermatology (skin cancer). The company actually has a product in the market and shows decent grows, especially in Germany and the US. The company is still loss making in the first 9M 2019, but the loss narrowed significantly. The “Corona Crash” pushed the stock price back to before sales went up:
Disclaimer: This is not investment advise. Please do your own research !!!
FBD is a local Irish Insurance company that I first wrote about in early 2015 when the stock look cheap. Luckily I didn’t invest back then as 7 months later FBD got already in trouble mainly due to under reserving plus another few skeletons in the closet. A month later, Prem Watsa came to the rescue with a slightly unusual deal structure.
What caught my eye now again (thanks to a friend mentioning the stock) is the relatively weak share price combined with super strong 2019 results and no bounce back from the Covid-19 crisis levels:
Another 25er batch of German stocks based on my random selection criteria. This time the result are 3 new entries into my watch list.
401. Kampa AG
Insolvent “zombie” stock. Pass.
402. Dinkelacker AG
The next 25 stocks. 4 of them made it onto my watch list.
276. Sporttotal AG
Sporttotal is the rebranded “Wige Media” company that changed its name in 2017 and has a market cap of around 20 mn EUR. The positive effect of the rebranding however didn’t last that long if we look at the stock chart.
Another week, another 25er batch of “fresh” German companies. Again, there is a lot of “Garbage” but also some interesting “watch” positions. One of the candidates is German Startups Group which, in the meantime made it into my portfolio. I publish the “All German stock” Series with a certain time lag and if time allows, I dive deeper into stocks that really interest me a lot. So It can happen that I decide to invest prior to actually publishing the respective post…
226. SAP AG
With 147 bn EUR the most valuable listed German company, leader in enterprise software with a steady increase in valuation over the last years:
Warning: This is not investment advice. The author recently had a very disappointing track record so you might want to stay away as far as possible from this stock. DO YOUR OWN research.
Some three and a half year ago I briefly looked at Metro Bank, then the much hyped “Apple of Banking” and I didn’t like it that much. My summary back then was as follows:
Fundamentally, I do think that at the current share prIce the stock is already very “richly” valued as I don’t see a sustainable business model to earn the required returns on equity in the long run.I see a large risk that Metro Bank is rather a “one-trick pony” which worked well once but most likely not a second time.
At some point in time in the future this could even turn out to be an interesting short opportunity when growth is slowing and defaults start catching up.
In the meantime a couple of things happened: