Category Archives: Anlage Philosophie

All German shares part 8 (Nr. 76-100)

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As I am making good progress, I included this time 25 stocks. The first 100 are done, another 700 or so to go 😉

Nr. 76: Uniwheels AG – ISIN DE000A13STW4

Uniwheels is a 800 mn EUR market cap car supplier. Interestingly the German company floated its shares in Poland in 2015. Their main products are  aluminium rims / wheels for cars.  In 2017, the founders of Uniwheels sold their majority to US based Superior. Maybe a squeeze out opportunity, but I know little on how this works in Poland. “Pass”

Nr 77: Foris AG

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Uber – Business model and “sum of parts” valuation attempt

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Health and safety warning: This is not investment advice. Please do your own research !!!!!

Following my book review of “Super Pumped” a few days ago I felt motivated (or “pumped up”) to look a little bit into Uber as a stock.

Uber is interesting in my opinion for a couple of reasons:

  • They really disrupted the taxi market with their app and even managed to create a new verb “Ubering”.
  • They managed to earn a dominent market share in many countries in a short time
  • In the markets where they failed, they ended up with significant stakes in the leading players (Chine/Didi. Russia/Yandex, SE Asia Grab)
  • The stock is extremely controversial
  • the lock-up for old investors has just expired
  • the stock price has been tanking for some time now
  • the company is not easy to understand

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All German Shares part 7 (Nr. 60-75)

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Upfront remark:

This time, I increased the number of shares per post to 15. I am making good progress with the underlying analysis so I guess it makes sense to speed up the series somewhat.

Nr. 60: Ludwig Beck AG

Barely profitable retailer with a 110 mn market cap. However “super prime” freehold property in my hometown Munich. The in 2015 acquired retail chain Wormland has been put in run off and led to significant losses in 2018 and 2019. “Pass”

Nr. 61: S&O Agrar AG – ISIN: DE0005236202

Another Biogas penny stock, “pass”

Nr. 62: Cybits AG – ISIN: DE0007240004

Bankrupt penny stock. “Pass”.

Nr. 63: Data Modul AG – ISIN: DE0005498901

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All German Shares – Part 6

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ANother upfront remark: I publish these posts with some delays, so not all numbers are real time. Also in some cases some news will have been issued afterwards like with Nordex (see below). Sometimes I might miss that…..

Nr. 50: CD Deutsche Eigenheim AG – ISIN: DE000A168270

Struggling real estate developer with 3 mn market cap. “Pass”

Nr. 51: Nordex AG – ISIN: DE000A0D6554

900 mn market cap Windmill manufacturer. Unprofitable, structural issues. “pass”
Edit: I wrote this a few weeks ago. In the mean time the stock price has recovered a little bit as Spanish company Acciona increased their stake via a capital increase to > 30% and had to issue a fromal takeover offer:

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Performance review 9M 2019 – Comment: The “Death of Value Investing” revisited

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In the first 9 months of 2019, the Value & Opportunity portfolio gained 8,8% (including dividends, no taxes) against 19.4% for the Benchmark (Eurostoxx50 (Perf.Ind) (25%), Eurostoxx small 200 (25%), DAX (30%), MDAX (20%)).

Links to previous Performance reviews can be found on the Performance Page of the blog.

Some other funds that I follow have performed as follows for 9M 2019:

Partners Fund TGV: -2.25%
Profitlich/Schmidlin: +9,1%
Squad European Convictions +9,8%
Ennismore European Smaller Cos +7.5% (in EUR)
Frankfurter Aktienfonds für Stiftungen 2,3%
Evermore Global Value  +13,7% (USD)
Greiff Special Situation +2% (est)
Squad Aguja Special Situation +9,8%
Paladin ONE 6,61%

Q3 2019 transactions

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All German shares – Part 5

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Again a quick upfront comment: Why did I start that series right now ? I guess it is a combination of bad experience in some foreign stocks (Cars.com, Silver Chef), the expectation of a more economically difficult situation in Germany (which will probably provide some opportunities later on) and curiosity. So far I have to say it is great fun, at least for me.

Nr. 40: Solutiance AG – ISIN: DE0006926504

Another renamed/reactivated company, now something with real etsate management software. 10 mn market cap, around 1 mn sales. “Pass”

Nr. 41: Surteco AG – ISIN: DE0005176903

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Special situation update: Innogy, Osram, PNE AG, AGROB & Comdirect

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Innogy Tendered Shares

A quick update on this “cheap option play”:  To a small extent this has developed better than I intitially thought as I had mentioned in the comments. My initial expectation would have been a small loss. However, E.On now has increaesd the price for the tendered Innogy shares voluntarily to 37.59 EUR which, inclding the dividend of 1,40 will lead to a small profit (before taxes and cost) . However the ultimate upside, if there is a lawsuit, will be smaller as the E.On shares dropped to 9 EUR and the theoretical value of the tendered shares is now 4.371*9= 39,34 EUR.

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All German Shares – Part 4

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Post number 4 in this series. This tiem a quick upfront remark what I do with the “watch list” that I create out of this: The watch list will be used to actually just watch these shares more actively and maybe follow up with a deeper analysis when time allows. In general I do think there is no time pressure with German shares. Germany has technically entered a recession and a lot of shares are still not cheap.

 

Nr. 30: Centrotec Sustainable AG – ISIN: DE0005407506

A 215 mn EUR market cap company with a very interesting product portfolio, i.e. specializing in energy efficient technologies for buildings. Majority owned by the founder, quite cheap (P/E of 12) and growing. Tailwind from new “climate saving” initiative from the German government which bumped the share price in the last few days. The company unfortunately is not very profitable (EBIT margin ~4-5%) despite the construction boom in its core market Germany.  I have also doubts how long the ccurretn real estate boom in Germany will last. Nevertheless one for the “watch list”

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